There have been few things more consistent over the past several years than experts being wrong in their expectations.
It started with the efficacy of lockdowns, based mostly on their belief that China entirely controlled COVID through incredibly strict, draconian measures that essentially closed down the country.
They moved on to school closures. Then capacity limits on businesses based on entirely made up percentages.
Local businesses could operate, but only at 25% capacity. Why 25%? Who knows? Probably because it’s a commonly used percentage among the general public that would be easy to remember.
They were insistent on “physical distancing,” which also had a shockingly poor evidence base supporting its implementation.
One-way arrows in grocery stores undoubtedly saved countless lives, if experts were to be believed. They wanted bars closed, but not restaurants that served alcohol. Presumably because COVID doesn’t spread when people sit and drink, only when they stand to drink.
Playgrounds were shuttered, curfews were announced and enforced, and the general public was given license to act as the police, leading to confrontations when someone violated the newly received rules that were almost entirely made up in a matter of weeks.
Of course, there were mask mandates, which were hopelessly usless.
But all of that paled in comparison to the COVID vaccines, especially those from Pfizer and Moderna.
They would “end the pandemic” by stopping transmission, completely eliminate the risk of hospitalization for the vaccinated, and prevent virtually every COVID death.
That most certainly did not age well.
But then boosters arrived to raise the waning immunity. Then second doses of boosters arrived. Then new variant specific boosters. All of it was going to end the pandemic for the 5th or 12th time.
Unfortunately, that didn’t age well either.
And now data from Australia has one again driven a massive hole in the endless expert narrative.
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